EUROSPENDINGEuro Economics
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2026-05-23

Net migration and population change

Why most EU population change now comes from migration rather than births, and how the crude rates are measured.

Eurostat breaks the year-on-year change in a country's population into two crude rates, each expressed per 1,000 people so countries of different sizes compare fairly.

Why it matters

Across most of the EU, natural change has turned negative — more deaths than births — so net migration is now the main thing keeping populations from shrinking. Population is the denominator behind per-capita prosperity and the working-age base that funds pensions and healthcare, which makes these rates a quiet but powerful driver of the public finances tracked elsewhere on this site.

These are demographic accounting rates, not a judgement. We show the figure; the interpretation is yours.

Source: Eurostat demographics (demo_gind), annual.

#explainer#demographics